My Swing Trading Approach

Neutral portfolio – I’ll go the direction the market decides to take today. 

Indicators

VIX – Solid bounce today, but needs to break above the monthly highs to wrestle control from the sellers. 

T2108 (% of stocks trading below their 40-day moving average) – Breadth was poor yesterday for the bears and it was reflected with a positive return on the T2108. 

Moving averages (SPX): Very little usefulness with the MA’s right now as price continues to break above and below them with little resistance/support. Yesterday saw price slice through the 50-day again, after having recaptured it on Tuesday.  

Industries to Watch Today

Tech looks hoppy out of the gate in the pre-market, but at an area of significant resistance for the Nasdaq, as well as the 20-day moving average. Financials struggling to find its footing still, Energy is in a bear flag pattern. UTILITIES is an absolute Freak-Show with its gains over the last two months. Cruise Lines have been getting more bullish by the day but Consumer Cyclical rolling over. 

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My Market Sentiment

I’m starting to believe that price action is on the verge of a pretty big sell-off – bigger than the two we have seen this month. But the dip buyers still have a grasp on this market, keeping the market, for now, from falling too far. 

Large caps > Small caps.

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance: 

• 2 long positions, 2 short positions

Recent Stock Trade Notables:

• SPXU: Long at $14.68, closed at $15.42 for a 5.0% profit.
• Tesla (TSLA): Long at 365.09, closed at 356.15 for a 2.4% loss. 
• United Parcel Service (UPS): Long at 113.58, sold at $114.74 for a 1% profit.
• First Solar (FSLR): Long at $48.07, sold at $49.10 for a 2.1% profit. 
• Facebook (FB): Short at $168.31, covered at $170.62 for a 1.3% loss. 
• SDS: Long at $49.81, closed at $48.88 for a 1.8% loss. 
• SPXU: Long at $14.51, closed at $15.25 for a 5.1% profit.
• Zayo Group (ZAYO): Long at 32.91, closed at 33.83 for a 2.8% profit. 
• JP Morgan Chase (JPM): Long at $94.91, closed at $93.83 for a 1.1% loss.
• Bank of America (BAC): Long at $24.48, closed at $25.01 for a 2.2% profit. 
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $151.69, closed at $153.43 for a 1.2% profit. 
• Salesforce (CRM): Long at $90.86, closed at $89.43 for a 1.5% loss. 
• Autodesk (ADSK): Long at $106.45, closed at $111.34 for a 4.6% profit.
• Bank of America (BAC): Long at $23.99, closed at $24.23 for a 1% profit. 
• IBB: Long at $313.18, closed at $324.25 for a 3.5% profit. 
• SPXU: Long at $14.82, closed at $14.58 for a 1.6% loss. 
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $143.65, closed at $150.40 for a 4.7% profit. 
• American Airlines (AAL): Long at $49.26, closed at $51.84 for a 5.2% profit
• Intel (INTC) Short at $35.21, covered at $34.46 for a 2.1% profit. 
• Nvdia (NVDA): Long at $155.57, closed at $157.53 for a 1.3% profit. 
• IBB: Long at $298.24, closed at $303.74 for a 1.8% profit. 
• SPXU: Long at $15.68, closed at $15.25 for a 2.7% loss. 
• Whirlpool (WHR): Long at $190.46, closed at $195.19 for a 2.5% profit. 
• Ferrari (RACE): Long at $84.60, closed at $89.93 for a 6.3% profit. 
• Amazon (AMZN): Long at $964.70, closed at $1001.23 for a 3.8% profit. 
• American Airlines (AAL): Long at $49.18, closed at $50.62 for a 2.9% profit
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $124.95, closed at $137.51 for a 10.1% profit. 
• Starbucks (SBUX): Long at $61.78, closed at $63.68 for a 3.1% profit.
• Western Digital (WDC): Long at $91.24, closed at $89.29 for a 2.1% loss. 
• Broadcom (AVGO): Long at $236.65, closed at $241.15 for a 2% profit.
• SPXU: Long at 16.60, closed at $16.98 for a 2.3% profit.
• JP Morgan Chase (JPM): Long at $87.84, closed at $85.98 for a 2.1% loss.
• Micron Technology (MU): Long at $29.00, closed at $28.04 for a 3.3% loss.
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $116.25, closed at $124.09 for a 6.7% profit. 
• Southwest Airlines (LUV): Long at $58.35, closed at 57.23 for a 1.9% loss.  
• Broadcom (AVGO): Long at $223.63, closed at $228.65 for a 2.2% profit. 
• Workday (WDAY): Long at 86.00, closed at 90.32 for a 5% profit. 
• Univar (UNVR): Long at $30.96, closed at $32.20 for a 4% profit.
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $111.91, closed at $115.48 for a 3.2% profit. 
• Redhat (RHT): Long at $85.21, closed at $87.21 foor a 2.4% profit. 
• Darling Ingredients (DAR): Long at $15.19, closed at $14.90 for a 1.9% loss. 
• Apple (AAPL): Long at $143.82, closed at $147.11 for a 2.3% profit.
• Teradyne (TER): Long at $31.16, closed at $33.03 for a 6.0% profit.
• UPRO: Long at $92.75, closed at $94.78 for a 2.2% profit. 

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