My Swing Trading Approach

Shorts look like the outcast yet again. The bounce yesterday and the pre-market one today, makes the long setups the only relevant trades to consider. 

Indicators

VIX – Two straight days of selling, and a 20% decline yesterday. It shouldn’t be too long before the VIX is back in the 10’s again. 

T2108 (% of stocks trading below their 40-day moving average) – 23% bounce yesterday, but still at 42%. Stocks still aren’t as healthy as the indices imply. 

Moving averages: 5 and 50-day moving averages reclaimed. Resistance at the 10-day, and possibly at the 20-day MA. 

Industries to Watch Today

Utilities have held up phenomenally well during the recent selling. Financials made a respectable comeback, and one of the stronger indices yesterday. Energy looks rough, went against the market rally yesterday. Solars however are showing strength of late. Defense as strong as ever. Small caps were solid, and tech easily beat the broader market. 

RELATED: Stocks to Watch: AME BA PAH

My Market Sentiment

Yesterday’s bounce was more than a dead cat manuver. The market looks like it has more to go similar to the bounces that we saw in each of the last three months. 

Large caps > Small caps.

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance: 

• 2 long positions

Recent Stock Trade Notables:

• Facebook (FB): Short at $168.31, covered at $170.62 for a 1.3% loss. 
• SDS: Long at $49.81, closed at $48.88 for a 1.8% loss. 
• SPXU: Long at $14.51, closed at $15.25 for a 5.1% profit.
• Zayo Group (ZAYO): Long at 32.91, closed at 33.83 for a 2.8% profit. 
• JP Morgan Chase (JPM): Long at $94.91, closed at $93.83 for a 1.1% loss.
• Bank of America (BAC): Long at $24.48, closed at $25.01 for a 2.2% profit. 
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $151.69, closed at $153.43 for a 1.2% profit. 
• Salesforce (CRM): Long at $90.86, closed at $89.43 for a 1.5% loss. 
• Autodesk (ADSK): Long at $106.45, closed at $111.34 for a 4.6% profit.
• Bank of America (BAC): Long at $23.99, closed at $24.23 for a 1% profit. 
• IBB: Long at $313.18, closed at $324.25 for a 3.5% profit. 
• SPXU: Long at $14.82, closed at $14.58 for a 1.6% loss. 
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $143.65, closed at $150.40 for a 4.7% profit. 
• American Airlines (AAL): Long at $49.26, closed at $51.84 for a 5.2% profit
• Intel (INTC) Short at $35.21, covered at $34.46 for a 2.1% profit. 
• Nvdia (NVDA): Long at $155.57, closed at $157.53 for a 1.3% profit. 
• IBB: Long at $298.24, closed at $303.74 for a 1.8% profit. 
• SPXU: Long at $15.68, closed at $15.25 for a 2.7% loss. 
• Whirlpool (WHR): Long at $190.46, closed at $195.19 for a 2.5% profit. 
• Ferrari (RACE): Long at $84.60, closed at $89.93 for a 6.3% profit. 
• Amazon (AMZN): Long at $964.70, closed at $1001.23 for a 3.8% profit. 
• American Airlines (AAL): Long at $49.18, closed at $50.62 for a 2.9% profit
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $124.95, closed at $137.51 for a 10.1% profit. 
• Starbucks (SBUX): Long at $61.78, closed at $63.68 for a 3.1% profit.
• Western Digital (WDC): Long at $91.24, closed at $89.29 for a 2.1% loss. 
• Broadcom (AVGO): Long at $236.65, closed at $241.15 for a 2% profit.
• SPXU: Long at 16.60, closed at $16.98 for a 2.3% profit.
• JP Morgan Chase (JPM): Long at $87.84, closed at $85.98 for a 2.1% loss.
• Micron Technology (MU): Long at $29.00, closed at $28.04 for a 3.3% loss.
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $116.25, closed at $124.09 for a 6.7% profit. 
• Southwest Airlines (LUV): Long at $58.35, closed at 57.23 for a 1.9% loss.  
• Broadcom (AVGO): Long at $223.63, closed at $228.65 for a 2.2% profit. 
• Workday (WDAY): Long at 86.00, closed at 90.32 for a 5% profit. 
• Univar (UNVR): Long at $30.96, closed at $32.20 for a 4% profit.
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $111.91, closed at $115.48 for a 3.2% profit. 
• Redhat (RHT): Long at $85.21, closed at $87.21 foor a 2.4% profit. 
• Darling Ingredients (DAR): Long at $15.19, closed at $14.90 for a 1.9% loss. 
• Apple (AAPL): Long at $143.82, closed at $147.11 for a 2.3% profit.
• Teradyne (TER): Long at $31.16, closed at $33.03 for a 6.0% profit.
• UPRO: Long at $92.75, closed at $94.78 for a 2.2% profit. 

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