My Swing Trading Strategy

I added two new positions to the portfolio while taking a small profit in Aliababa (BABA) yesterday. I may consider adding one new position today depending on how strong the market can stay, considering the pre-market strength currently being seen. 

Indicators

  • Volatility Index (VIX) – Expect more of a decline today with strength in the equities. Likely to see a move back below 13 and possibly even below 12 to challenge the March lows. 
  • T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average): With a flat market yesterday, this breadth indicator did little to nothing to impress and has consolidated in a tight range over the last nine sessions. 
  • Moving averages (SPX): Despite trading higher yesterday, SPX dipped, fractionally, below the 5-day moving average. The 10-day moving average is just beneath. 
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Sectors to Watch Today

Industrials were incredibly strong, mainly on the heals of Boeing (BA) bouncing off of its 200-day moving average, and looks to do the same again today. However, a trade in that stock remains difficult as overnight news risk doesn’t  make for easy trading. Utilities remained flat, but avoided breaking down and confirming a topping pattern. Financials are likely to rally today on the coat tails of some positive earnings. Energy bull flag to watch. With the Chevron (CVX) buyout of Andadarko Petroleum (APC), look for this sector to lead the way today. 
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My Market Sentiment

SPX continues to withstand all attempts at selling off, and with some very positive overnight news with China, a buyout, earnings and Disney (DIS) looking to start its own streaming service, the market has a lot of mojo coming into the trading session and may see a pop finally in the dismal volume readings of late. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

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Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 50% Long. 

Recent Stock Trades – See My Past Performance Here.