• SP 500 Market Analysis 7-09-13

Pre-market update:

  • European markets are trading 0.7% higher. 
  • Asian markets traded 1.5% lower.
  • US futures are trading 0.4% higher.  

Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (7:30), ICSC-Goldman Store Sales (7:45), Redbook (8:55)

Technical Outlook (SPX):

  • Huge day for the SPX yesterday as it managed to break through the descending trend-line off of the 5/22 highs. 
  • The next task at hand is to break through 1654 or the 6/18 highs, and by doing so, the market would put an official end to the sell-off by establishing a higher-high. 
  • Volume has picked back up and was as high as I’ve seen it since the end of June. 
  • I’m somewhat concerned yesterday by the lack of movement out of the VIX and how it barely finished in the red. 
  • Watch the rising SPX trend-line off of the 6/24 lows. A move below 1624 would not be good, at least not until we break above 1654 first. 
  • Heading near short-term overbought territory. I will also be providing a fresh reading on the SharePlanner Reversal Indicator today as well. 
  • Some resistance on the SPX 1647 level for the 30-minute chart. 
  • SPX shows clear breakout above the fray and consolidation that has taken place since 6/27. There is a strong likelihood that this market will continue to rally. 
  • The one thing you are not seeing that typically accompanies a major market sell-off is continuous bad news coming out. We had the FOMC Statement and that has been it. 
  • I simply do not think the bears can keep driving this market lower without some form of a catalyst besides the tapering comments made before by the FOMC. 
  • Markets don’t care about the economy. That is not what is driving them. The markets only care about what the Fed is doing to keep equities propped up. 

My Opinions & Trades:

  • Closed V at 192.30 from 182.15 for a 5.6% gain. 
  • Closed LPI at 20.60 from 20.28 for a 1.6% gain. 
  • Closed GS at 154.10 from 153.16 for a 0.6% gain. 
  • Added VZ at 51.33
  • Current Longs: WLP at 80, GOOG at 872.67, BCR at 108.70.  
  • I’ll look to add 1-2 new positions today. 
  • Join me each day for all my real-time trades and alerts in the SharePlanner Splash Zone

Chart for SPX:

SP 500 Market Analysis 7-09-13

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