Pre-market update (updated 9am eastern):

  • Europe is trading 0.1% higher.
  • Asian markets traded -0.3% lower. 
  • US futures are flat ahead of the open. 

Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): GDP (8:30am), Jobless Claims (8:30am), Corporate Profits (8:30am), Existing Home Sales (10am), Philadelphia Fed Survey (10am), FHFA House Price Index (10am), Leading INdicators (10am), EIA Natural Gas Report (10:30am)

Technical Outlook (SPX):

  • Yesterday provided us with a market pullback that was much overdo and also brings us back inside of the upper Bollinger Band. 
    • A strong bull market will see a move like yesterday get quickly bought up today.
  • Quickly approaching short-term overbought, which will likely occur today barring a major sell-off. 
  • Volume was above average yesterday and close to being on par with the strength we saw on Tuesday. 
  • Pushing this market below 1411 will create a strong bearish advantage, until then, no major worries for the bulls. 
  • Expect market volume to continue to lighten between now and Christmas. 
  • Healthy pullback on the 30min chart of SPX
  • Fiscal Cliff talks yesterday deteriorated dramatically. 
  • SPX has reclaimed all significant moving averages. 
  • VIX spiked significantly higher to over 17. 

My Opinions & Trades:

Chart for SPX:

S and P 500 Market Analysis 12-20-12

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