Current Long Positions (stop-losses in parentheses): TICC (9.04), BRKR (12.95), CVX (76.89), DAL (11.05), ELY (6.39), ITW (44.45), SSO (38.03), QQQQ (48.06)

Current Short Positions (stop-losses in parentheses): LMT (76.35)

BIAS: 73% Long

Economic Reports Due Out (Times are EST): ICSC-Goldman Store Sales (7:45am), Redbook (8:55am), S&P Case-Shiller HPI (9am), Consumer Confidence (10am), State Street Investor Confidence Index (10am), 

My Observations and What to Expect:

  • Futures are slightly above break-even. 
  • Volatility could increase as we approach the end-of-quarter.
  • Bulls must push through 1150 on the S&P, which is currently acting as resistance, followed by 1173. 
  • Asian and European markets are down. 
  • I’ll be watching the Consumer Confidence report and the market’s response to it. 
  • Bulls now have reclaimed the neckline of the confirmed inverse head and shoulders pattern.
  • Bears should aim 1) To push the markets back below 1130, and 2) Put in a lower-low, by breaking below 1122.
  • In the very near-term, the markets have managed to work off their overbought conditions. In the intermediate to long-term picture, we are still overbought. 
  • Thursday could set up to be a wild day with GDP and Jobless Claims due.
  • Last week before quarter-end.

Actions I Will Be Taking:

  • I’ll look to add no more than 1-2 positions to the portfolio today.
  • Bought QQQQ @ 49.55
  • I will not hesitate to add a hedge position if this market wants to sell-off today.
  • Any gap up/down this morning should represent a good fading opportunity.

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