Today’s Trading Plan: Trading Like Nothing Ever Happened

Technical Outlook:

• Third straight significant rally on SPX yesterday, and the first time since October 2011 that it has rallied over one percent on three consecutive days. 
• Pre-market the futures are up yet again, and could test key resistance at 1947 which, if broken, will create a higher-high for the market for the first time since late December. 
• Volume continues to trend very lightly over the last three days and well below average. 
• SPX established a higher-high on the 30 minute chart, but like the daily, will face a major test of overhead resistance at 1947. 
• Another outstanding day for the T2108 (% of stocks trading above the 40-day moving average) where it rallied 29% to 40, which is the highest reading since 12/4/15. 
• VIX rising trend-line that started at 12/23/15 is being tested coming into today. If this holds, could result in some profit taking for the market. 
• One of my big concerns toward this market is the fact that bottom was formed on a suspect headline and that kept the market from ever really seeing a true flush or panic moment for the market. 
• Oil continues to rocket higher with another day of +8% gains yesterday, and up another +2% to start today. . 
• Insane price movements every day being created by computer generated trading (HFT’s) in a highly volatile market marked with enormous headline risk. 

My Trades:

• Added one new swing-trade to the portfolio yesterday. 
  
• Currently 10% Short, 90% Cash
• Careful not to play catch up with a rally that has been extremely difficult to get on board with considering its timing around the recent 3-day holiday weekend. 
• Join me each day for all my real-time trades and alerts in the SharePlanner Splash Zone

Chart for SPX: