Pre-market update (updated 9am eastern):

  • European markets are trading -1.1% lower. 
  • Asian markets traded 1.6% higher.
  • US futures are trading moderately lower, ahead of the bell. 

Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): MBA Purchase Applications (7am), Treasury Refunding Announcement (9am), EIA Petroleum Status Report (10:30am), Treasury STRIPS (3pm)

Technical Outlook (SPX):

  • Another day of reversing from the previous day. We finished yesterday up more than 1% on the day. 
  • The reversals that happen day-after-day is very similar to the reversal pattern that formed off of the August lows back in 2011 over a four day period. A very weak day in the markets will confirm the action. 
  • Key price level for the bears is at 1494-5. 
  • SPX regained the 10-day moving average as well. 
  • Respectable sell-off at the close yesterday. 
  • 30-minute chart on the SPX shows a potential double-top that might be forming. Prior to this, it has trended upward in near perfect fashion. 
  • The gappiness in both directions at the top of a major trend is not a healthy sign for the market. We need to either close above yesterday’s highs or close below Tuesday’s lows to better understand the direction this market is wanting to take. 
  • Volume was average yesterday. 
  • Two support levels that I want to watch going forward are the 1468 and 1451 on the SPX. We aren’t quite there yet, but that is really the nearest support levels of significance. 
  • VIX back into the 13’s. 
  • Worries about European economies starting to re-emerge. 
  • This past January was the best we’ve seen since 1994. The best January in 19 years. 
  • The channel that we are currently trading in looks very similar to the channel that we traded in last year from June through September. 

My Opinions & Trades:


=

Chart for SPX:

S and P 500 Market Analysis 2-6-13

    You are unauthorized to view this page.

You Might Like

  • How to use Moving Averages for Swing Trading

  • When Geopolitics Hits the Wires: Lessons from Iran to Maduro

  • Swing Trading Using Volume Analysis