Pre-market update (updated 8:00am eastern):
- Europe is trading 0.2% higher.
- Asian markets traded 0.6% higher.
- US futures are slightly higher.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): MBA Purchase Applications (7am), Import and Export Prices (8:30am), EIA Petroleum Status Report (10:30am), FOMC Meeting Announcement (12:30pm), FOMC Forecasts (2pm), Treasury Budget (2pm), Bernanke Press Conference (2:15pm)
Technical Outlook (SPX):
- For the fifth straight day, the SPX traded higher on the day.
- There’s a negative divergence on the RSI and other similar indicators where it failed to make a higher high against the previous highs of this month.
- We are seeing similar price action to what what occurred off of the June lows. Assuming as much, it would lead me to believe we’ll see a pullback in the next 3 days.
- We are slightly in overbought territory now.
- Volume ticked notably higher yesterday.
- We have the FOMC Statement which typically adds unusual intraday activity for the markets.
- There’s an inverse head and shoulders pattern forming on SPX daily chart that is confirmed at 1422.
- Price action showing a downtrend off of the October highs was broken Monday on SPX.
- Current uptrend off of the November lows is steep, but not atypical for new rallies. Overtime the up-ward trend-line will flatten out some.
- 8-day EMA continues to provide rising support for the markets in the short-term.
- Ideally for the bulls, if price action can close at or above 1429, the downtrend off of the September highs would be officially done and over with, as a new higher high would be established for the first time.
- Fiscal Cliff discussions continues to dominate the news.
- SPX currently has recaptured the 10, 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages.
- VIX closed below 16.
My Opinions & Trades:
- Day Traded S and bought and closed it at $3.56 for no gain .
- Sold EVER at $14.76 for a -1.0% loss.
- Remain long SIG at $54.01, EW at $91.01, AL at $22.70, LULU at $73.01.
- I’ll be looking to add 1-2 new positions to the portfolio today.
- Here is my real-time swing-trading portfolio and past-performance
Chart for SPX:

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