Pre-market update (updated 8:30am eastern):
- Europe is trading 0.4% higher.
- Asian markets traded in a wide range from -0.6% up to +0.2%.
- US futures are slightly higher ahead of the open.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): ICSC-Goldman Store Sales (7:45am), Redbook (8:55am)
Technical Outlook (SPX):
- Despite the historically positive gap-up on the first of the month, SPX instead sold off and eventually traded lower on the day.
- Most notable, was the rejection at the 50-day moving average.
- On SPY the price action turned the last two days into a bearish engulfing pattern.
- 30-minute chart looks distributive.
- Watch rising support at the 3-day EMA.
- Overall, despite the pullback yesterday, the action looks orderly and without panic.
- Stocks remain overbought in general and on the SPX. This can last a while, and does not necessarily mean that a pullback is imminent.
- Ideally for the bulls, if price action can close at or above 1429, the downtrend off of the September highs would be officially done and over with, as a new higher high would be established for the first time.
- Next level of price resistance rests at 1437.
- Fiscal Cliff discussions continues to dominate the news.
- SharePlanner Reversal Indicator shows a strong possibility for a Santa Rally
- SPX currently has recaptured the 10, 20, and 200-day moving averages.
- VIX rose above 16.
My Opinions & Trades:
- Sold CIG at $11.87 from $12.26 for a -3.2% loss.
- Bought LULU at $72.42.
- I’ll be looking to add 1-2 new long positions to the portfolio today.
- Here is my real-time swing-trading portfolio and past-performance
Chart for SPX:

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