Pre-market update (updated 9am eastern):
- European markets are trading mixed and 0.1% higher.
- Asian markets traded mixed and -0.4% lower.
- US futures are trading mixed/flat ahead of the bell.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): Jobless Claims (8:30am), Productivity and Costs (8:30am), EIA Natural Gas Report (10:30am), Consumer Credit (3pm)
Technical Outlook (SPX):
- We saw yesterday for the first time in 4 gap down days where the dip buyers actually came in and brought the market off of its lows.
- This ended the three-day streak of day-to-day major reversals.
- We consolidated at the highs yesterday which bodes well for market bulls.
- Volume remained relatively flat yesterday.
- I am leaning more in the direction now that this market will likely push out of the recent consolidation to new 5-year highs.
- Key price level for the bears is at 1494-5.
- On the 30min chart of SPX the double top that was forming yesterday looks much more messier today. More like consolidation now.
- The gappiness in both directions at the top of a major trend is not a healthy sign for the market. We need to either close above Tuesday’s highs or close below Tuesday’s lows to better understand the direction this market is wanting to take.
- Two support levels that I want to watch going forward are the 1468 and 1451 on the SPX. We aren’t quite there yet, but that is really the nearest support levels of significance.
- VIX back into the 13’s.
- Worries about European economies starting to re-emerge.
- The channel that we are currently trading in looks very similar to the channel that we traded in last year from June through September.
My Opinions & Trades:
- Closed SWHC yesterday at $8.94 for a 3.2% gain.
- Stopped out of UAL yesterday at $24.73 for a -2.6% loss.
- Added WOOF at $22.12.
- Remain Short GLW at $12.04, Long DVA at $116.72
- Will likely add 1-2 new positions to the portfolio today.
- Here is my real-time swing-trading portfolio and past-performance
Chart for SPX:


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