Pre-market update (updated 9:00am eastern):

  • European markets are trading 0.1% higher.
  • Asian markets traded 0.4% higher but in mixed fashion.. 
  • US futures are trading slightly lower ahead of the opening bell.. 

Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): International Trade (8:30am), Import and Export Prices (8:30am), Treasury Budget (2pm)

Technical Outlook (SPX):

  • SPX broke out of the bull-flag consolidation I mentioned yesterday and closing at 5 year highs. 
  • 1451 now becomes a clear support level for the bulls to hold going forward. 
  • Yesterday’s close represents a five-year closing high or as I call it, a post-recovery high. 
  • Volume continues to remain steady. 
  • As a result, we are getting right back into overbought territory short-term. 
  • Of late, there have been quite a few market rallies/sell-offs in the last hour of trading, much like yesterday. 
  • 30-minute chart shows a nice breakout of previous consolidation. 
  • There really isn’t any support found on any of the major moving averages
  • Notice the channel that we are currently trading in, off of the November lows (see chart below).
  • VIX is now trading below 13.50, indicating a general lack of fear in this market. 
  • There’s really no significant level of resistance for the market above 1466 until you get to 1501. 
  • It will take a significant move, but below 1398, the trend will be bearish. 
  • Be aware of upcoming news events and discussions that will permeate the markets: Debt Ceiling Debate, Fiscal Cliff Part II, Employment Recovery. 
  • There is still a huge gap on the SPY chart that ultimately needs to be filled. 

My Opinions & Trades:

Chart for SPX:

S and P 500 Market Analysis 1-11-13

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