Pre-market update (updated 8:00am eastern):
- Europe is trading 0.2% lower.
- Asian markets traded between break even up to +0.7% higher.
- US futures are flat.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): Consumer Price Index (8:30am), PMI Manufacturing Index Flash (8:58am), Industrial Production (9:15am)
Technical Outlook (SPX):
- We saw an orderly and continued pullback off of the intraday highs achieved on Wednesday.
- A blip of buying at the end of the day suggests that the bulls could be compelled to cover their short positions here.
- SPX tested the 50-day moving average yesterday and held.
- Volume remained steady.
- Reversal over the last two days occurred at the neckline of the previous triple top in the market.
- If the bears want to accelerate the selling, then price needs to get below 1406 and close below that level.
- 8-day exponential moving average has provided a lot of rising support for this trending market. A break and close below it, would be a cause for concern. Yesterday we managed to close just a shade above this level.
- There’s a negative divergence on the RSI and other similar indicators where it failed to make a higher high against the previous highs of this month.
- There’s an inverse head and shoulders pattern formed on SPX daily chart that is confirmed at 1422.
- Price action showing a downtrend off of the October highs was broken Monday on SPX.
- Current uptrend off of the November lows is steep, but not atypical for new rallies. Overtime the up-ward trend-line will flatten out some.
- Ideally for the bulls, if price action can close at or above 1429, the downtrend off of the September highs would be officially done and over with, as a new higher high would be established for the first time.
- Fiscal Cliff discussions continues to dominate the news.
- SPX currently has recaptured the 10, 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages.
- VIX closed above 16.
My Opinions & Trades:
- Bought CMG at $278.00
- Remain long SIG at $54.01, EW at $91.01, LULU at $73.01, BSBR at $7.03.
- If the market begins to stabilize, I’ll get consideration to adding a new long position to the portfolio.
- Here is my real-time swing-trading portfolio and past-performance
Chart for SPX:

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