Technical Analysis:
- The S&P 500 (SPX) jump started the Santa Rally with a hard sell-off yesterday that sent equities reeling nearly 1% and to the lower end of the short-term trading range.
- Price broke the 5-day and 10-day moving averages and threatens to test the 20-day moving average today. This is the strongest sell-off seen since the rally began during election week.
- SPX needs to hold 2248. Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has yet to break through the non-important 20,000 level.
- Volume increased yesterday by 50% yesterday on SPDRs S&P 500 (SPY) but still well below recent averages and should remain below average through the end of the year.
- CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) saw one of its biggest increases of late by jumping 8% without any late day sell-offs (a rarity). The August support level continues to hold strong.
- Big sell-off on the T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average) that raises concerns about the market being able to continue this rally as the number of stocks tradidng above the MA dropped significantly from 72% down to 65%.
- Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures (/CL) trying to rebound today. The trend-line in oil is far better than what is out there on the indices.
My Trades:
- I day-traded SPXU yesterday for a profit.
- I closed WYN yesterday at 76.41 for a 1.8% loss.
- I will look to add 1-2 new swing-trades to the portfolio today.
- I am currently 40% Long / 10% Short / 50% Cash
Chart for SPX:

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