Pre-market update (updated 8:00am eastern):
- Europe is trading 0.4% higher.
- Asian markets traded 0.2% higher.
- US futures are slightly higher.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): FOMC Meeting Begins, NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (7:30am), ICSC-Goldman Store Sales (7:45am), International Trade (8:30am), Redbook (8:55am), Wholesale Trade (10am),
Technical Outlook (SPX):
- SPX advanced for the fourth straight day.
- The index did a good job of holding the 50-day moving average which previously acted as a strong layer of resistance previously.
- There’s actually an inverse head and shoulders pattern forming on SPX daily chart that is close to confirming at 1422.
- Volume has been trickling lower over the past four trading sessions, which coincides with the four-day rally.
- We are close to being back in overbought territory in the short-term, but that isn’t an overly concerning development at this point.
- We’ve also made new highs for the second straight session off of the November lows.
- Gap ups in the market of late have been difficult to hold, and often times lead to moves lower overall.
- Price action showing a downtrend off of the October highs was broken yesterday on SPX.
- Current uptrend off of the November lows is steep, but not atypical for new rallies. Overtime the up-ward trend-line will flatten out some.
- 8-day EMA continues to provide rising support for the markets in the short-term.
- Ideally for the bulls, if price action can close at or above 1429, the downtrend off of the September highs would be officially done and over with, as a new higher high would be established for the first time.
- Fiscal Cliff discussions continues to dominate the news.
- SPX currently has recaptured the 10, 20, and 200-day moving averages.
- VIX closed at 16.
My Opinions & Trades:
- Bought AL at $22.70.
- Bought LULU at $73.01
- Remain long SIG at $54.01, EW at $91.01, and EVER at $14.91.
- I’ll be looking to add 1-2 new positions to the portfolio today.
- Here is my real-time swing-trading portfolio and past-performance
Chart for SPX:

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