Pre-market update (updated 9:00am eastern):
- Europe is trading -0.5% lower.
- Asian markets traded -0.6% lower.
- US futures are slightly lower.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): MBA Purchase Applications (7am), New Home Sales (10am), EIA Petroleum Status Report (10:30am), Beige Book (2pm)
Technical Outlook (SPX):
- The S&P 500 pulled back yesterday after Senator Harry Reid gave some dismal remarks regarding the fiscal cliff discussions.
- Action from the past three days almost has the look of an evening star formation. Regardless, the price action during that time period doesn’t appear favorable.
- Resistance at the 1410 level continue to be problematic for the bulls. Third straight day that the SPX has been unable to push through it.
- Short-term, a break below Monday’s lows, should accelerate the pace of selling for the bears.
- Price action still trading outside of the downward channel it previously was in.
- We are facing a minor gap heading into the open, and I urge traders to be careful, as it often times leads to an upside reversal at some point after the first hour of trading.
- In general, I’m finding that there are a lot of mixed signals, so the best advice is to let the market confirm direction on its own and not front run the market as a result.
- SPX remains well overbought on the short-term time frame. On the long-term time frame, SPX is no longer oversold, like it had been prior to last week.
- SharePlanner Reversal Indicator shows a strong possibility for a Santa Rally
- After 1410, look for the next level of resistance to kick in around 1437.
- Despite the strong rally of late, the SPX failed to make a higher-high. As a result, I’d view this market with skepticism, until proven otherwise.
- SPX currently has recaptured the 10, 20, and 200-day moving averages.
- 30-minute chart shows the potential for a breakdown.
- VIX is just a shade below 16.
My Opinions & Trades:
- Covered KORS at $52.05 from $50.83 for a -2.4% loss.
- Went long on APKT at $19.81.
- Wont hesitate to close out my long position and start adding new short positions if conditions permit.
- Here is my real-time swing-trading portfolio and past-performance