Pre-market update (updated 8:30am eastern):
- Europe is trading 0.2% higher.
- Asian markets traded 1.3% higher.
- US futures are slightly higher ahead of the open.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): MBA Purchase Applications (7am), ADP Employment Report (8:15am), Productivity and Costs (8:30am), Factory Orders (10am), ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (10am), EIA Petroleum Status Report (10:30am)
Technical Outlook (SPX):
- We continued to pullback for the second straight day after the rejection on the 50-day moving average.
- Rising support at the 8-day EMA has held quite nicely over the last month. It’ll be interesting if the same happens yet again today.
- We are retesting the neckline of the triple-top on the SPX daily. Heavy resistance at this level for now.
- We are off of overbought conditions in the short-term.
- Volume remains stable.
- On SPY the price action turned the last two days into a bearish engulfing pattern.
- 30-minute chart looks distributive.
- Overall, the two-day pullback looks orderly and without panic.
- Ideally for the bulls, if price action can close at or above 1429, the downtrend off of the September highs would be officially done and over with, as a new higher high would be established for the first time.
- Next level of price resistance rests at 1437.
- Fiscal Cliff discussions continues to dominate the news.
- SharePlanner Reversal Indicator shows a strong possibility for a Santa Rally
- SPX currently has recaptured the 10, 20, and 200-day moving averages.
- VIX rose above 17.
My Opinions & Trades:
- Sold LULU at $70.59 for a 2.5% loss.
- Bought VRX at $56.14.
- I’ll be looking to add 1-2 new positions to the portfolio today.
- Here is my real-time swing-trading portfolio and past-performance
Chart for SPX:

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