Technical Outlook:

  • S&P 500 (SPX) dropped for a third consecutive day yesterday. If the market sells off today, it would mark the first time since June 15th that SPX sold off four straight days. 
  • On the volume side, SPDRs S&P 500 (SPYsaw a third straight day of rising volume and came in at average levels. 
  • GDP came in at above expectations this morning (2.9% vs 2.5% expected). This increases the chances for a rate hike at the December FOMC Meeting. 
  • SPX tested the 20-day moving average but was rejected yesterday. As a result, a minor sell-off ensued and dropped through the 5 and 10-day moving averages. 
  • Key support rests at 2120 on SPX today, and ideally for the bears, if it can break 2114 and close below this level, it would market a major breakthrough for them. 
  • Otherwise, we just remain rangebound. 
  • CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIXrose for a third straight day, closing for once, near the highs of the day. VIX closed 7.9% higher at 15.36. 
  • With a big earnings miss during the after hours by Amazon (AMZN), the Nasdaq (QQQ) is looking at a decent dip lower this morning. 
  • United States Oil Fund (USO) continues to sport a nasty double top pattern that indicates it could see a drop of as much as 10% in the coming weeks. 
  • The Russell Index (IWM) is in a clear breakdown at this point, following yesterday’s sell-off and is the weakest of all the indices at the moment. 

My Trades:

  • Did not add any new trades yesterday. 
  • Did not close out any trades yesterday. 
  • Will look to add 1-2 new swing-trades to the portfolio today. 
  • Currently 10% Long / 40% Short / 50% Cash

Chart for SPX:

SP 500 Market Analysis 10 28 16

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