My Swing Trading Strategy

I didn’t increase my overall exposure in the market yesterday, as I sold my position in Boeing (BA) for a small loss, after it simply refused to bounce. This morning, I will watch overall market action to see if the bulls are able too bounce off the overnight lows. Regardless, I will be raising my stops as much as possible to protect profits. 

Indicators

  • Volatility Index (VIX) – Despite a +30 point move in SPX yesterday, the VIX didn’t give up much ground with only a 2% decline. Expect to see an increase in volatility today.  
  • T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average): A strong rally yesterday shot the indicator up 12% to 62%. A very good and much need move to avoid a confirmed breakdown on the chart. 
  • Moving averages (SPX): Held the 5-day moving average and now trading above all other major moving averages.  
  • RELATEDPatterns to Profits: Training Course

Sectors to Watch Today

Technology established new all-time highs yesterday and re-established itself as the market leader. Real Estate continues to come on strong as well. Financials should be avoided at all costs – in particular the banks – as they are running hard against the market. Don’t trust their bounces either.  
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My Market Sentiment

SPX  bounced off of support yesterday, following two days of declines. However, there’s plenty of weakness heading into the open today, and holding onto a large portion of the previous day’s rally will be essential to keeping the market momentum intact. A reversal that takes price back below key support would  certainly be bearish going forward.  

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

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Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 30% Long.

Recent Stock Trades – See My Past Performance Here.