Pre-market update (updated 9am eastern):
- European markets are trading 0.2% higher.
- Asian markets traded -0.9% lower.
- US futures are trading slightly higher ahead of the opening bell.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): None
Technical Outlook (SPX):
- SPX had its biggest sell-off yesterday since 2/25.
- We continue to see the volume flow in much stronger on the sell-offs then on the days when the market rallies.
- At this point, in the short-term price action on the SPX suggests we are in more of a range bound market than it is trending in any direction.
- For that to change look for a break of 1538 or 1563.
- Yesterday brought us off of short-term overbought levels for the first time since 3/4.
- VIX managed to get back up to 14 yesterday.
- I don’t recommend using dead cat bounces as an opportunity to reload your short positions.
- Market is starting to become rumor driven yet again – this time surrounding the country of Cyprus.
- The nearest short-term support level for this market lies at 1514.
- Ideally, we are still in need of a more sustained pullback to 1500-1510 level simply for the reason, that it would once again bring stocks back to a place with more ideal setups and opportunities for trading.
- Also the amount of margin being used to buy stocks are at levels that historically have led to notable reversals in the market.
- Both channels (July October 2012) and the price channel we are currently in are very similar in nature.
- We haven’t seen a market pullback in excess of 4% since October/November time-frame.
My Opinions & Trades:
- Bought yesterday SRPT at $33.07
- Bought yesterday HOV at $6.19
- Bought GG at $33.55
- Stopped out of CY at $11.40 for a -3% loss.
- Remain Long SLV at $27.97
- Remaining patient at these elevated price levels – not going to force position that aren’t there.
- Here is my real-time swing-trading portfolio and past-performance
Chart for SPX:


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