My Swing Trading Approach
I’m 100% cash here. I’m not in a rush, to add positions, I’ll wait to see if the small amount of strength in the premarket can hold on, as the day moves forward. If so, I’ll add 1-3 new positions to the portfolio. Also will considering shorting the market if the risk/reward is there.
Indicators
- VIX – A massive 25% move yesterday, and up as much as 40% prior to the final hour of trading. Highest close since 4/25.
- T2108 (% of stocks trading below their 40-day moving average): A very damaging 15% decline yesterday and lowest close since 5/3. Stocks are much weaker right now then the indices are showing them to be. Currently at 54%
- Moving averages (SPX): Tested the 50-day MA, broke intraday, but held into the close. Additional selling will certainly take us down to the 200-day moving average.
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Sectors to Watch Today
Technology was absolutely hammered yesterday as was Energy, with the former giving up all its gains on the month while the latter is near to confirming a head and shoulders pattern. Discretionary stocks took a massive hit led by Netflix (NFLX) and Amazon (AMZN). Money flowed into the Utilities as a capital safe haven.
My Market Sentiment
Broke the key 50-day moving average intraday, but an end of day rally barely preserved the MA. Back in an old trading range, as the market gave up most of June’s gains. Watch for whether a break of the 5/29 lows happens.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance
- 100% Cash
