My Swing Trading Approach
I am willing to add a new position to the portfolio today, but I have to be extremely “choosy” with my opportunities here, because the market is overbought, and I have little desire to add more exposure at the tail end, before seeing a normal market pullback.
Indicators
- VIX – VIX continues to break down, falling another 4.4% down to 12.65. Volatility is nearing levels seen prior to the February sell-off.
- T2108 (% of stocks trading below their 40-day moving average): Key test for T2108 coming up today. The indicator is up against some major resistance. Look for resistance at 67%. Right now it sits at 65%.
- Moving averages (SPX): SPX trading above all major moving averages.
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Industries to Watch Today
Only 4 of the 11 sectors traded higher on Friday. Healthcare was the only sector with any meaningful gains. Everything else was flat. Heading into this week, look for bullish opportunities in Healthcare, Discretionary, Materials, Financials and as always, Technology. 
My Market Sentiment
Since the January all-time were established, the current rally off of the 200-day moving average, is one of the best rallies we have seen. The market is overbought here, and I wouldn’t surprised to see some consolidation here in the days ahead.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance
- 5 Long Positions
