Trading notes:Â If you look at the start in each of the past two weeks since the War in Iran began, the market has taken in an optimistic tone on Monday's, rallying extremely hard - even on the first day of the war it managed to do so. Today, with the start of the third week,
Trading notes: Futures are attempting to rally off their overnight lows this morning, as crude futures pullback in the range of -2% ahead of the market open. Price action will largely be tied to movement of oil prices and the ultimate direction it takes. Also, news of tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz will
Trading notes:Â Added my first trade in over a week yesterday, with SH. Currently futures are pushing lower, with oil rising, but the tendency of dip buyers to try to rally the market off of any kind of sell-off, no matter how extreme or risky, remains in place. Resistance continuing to push back suggests that they
Trading notes: That afternoon fade on SPY yesterday, makes me think more and more that we might be seeing a dead-cat bounce that is already deteriorating. That sets up the potential for possibly getting long on some inverse ETFs. The two that stand out to me here are SH and PSQ. Whether one uses 1:1,
Trading notes:Â Yesterday will probably go down as the wildest day of trading so far in 2026, and almost going from a S3 pivot level to a R3 pivot level all in one day. You also saw oil go from as high as +$119/barrel all the way down to the mid $80's. All this coming from
Trading notes: Futures opened up to a scene that looked like things could spiral out of control before the equities market even opened up, with oil spiking to almost $120/share. Overnight, there was a strong recovery, resulting in over half the losses being recovered, which was one of the best case scenarios considering where we were
Trading notes: No new setups this morning, though I am watching, closely, SH and SDS as potential long plays. For those unfamiliar they are the 1:1 and 2:1 inverse ETFs of SPY. The key will be determining which one I am willing to get long on from a reward/risk standpoint. Another concern is the potential
Trading notes:Â At this point, this stock market's behavior since late October probably feels like an endless chop to most traders and that's why one of the biggest nemesis of traders during market conditions such as these is overtrading. That doesn't mean you don't stay proactive and continue to analyze stay on top of market conditions,
Trading notes:Â Back to 100% cash following yesterday's early sell-off. The afternoon rally bought stocks well off of their lows, and managed to cling to key support levels. Now the market is rallying on news that there are back-channel negotiations taking place between the US and Iran. The market appears somewhat skeptical of it, considering the
Trading notes:Â Heavy dip buying yesterday, particularly in SPY and NVDA, believing that the start of the War in Iran would simply be another dip-buying opportunity, has led to a nasty rug-pull for traders this morning. These kinds of market risk events are worth being very conservative on. I like the position I'm in from a