Trading Plan for Sept. 16, 2010

Current Long Positions (stop-losses in parentheses): TICC (8.82)

Current Short Positions (stop-losses in parentheses): SPY (113.30), DELL (13.26), URBN (36.60)

BIAS: 36% Short

Economic Reports Due Out (Times are EST): Producer Price Index (8:30am), Jobless Claims (8:30am), Current Account (8:30am), Treasury International Capital (9am), Tim Geithner (10am), Philadelphia Fed Survey (10am), EIA Natural Gas Report (10:30am), 

My Observations and What to Expect:

• Futures are slightly down.
• High probability that we find out whether this market can break through the 1130 level on the S&P today. 
• A good jobs report, would likely push us through the mark. 
• A bad jobs report could be the perfect catalyst for a reversal up against 1130 resistance and a well-overbought market. 
• Bear target would be for a close below 1113, which would push us below the week’s lows as well as the 200-day moving average. 
• Volume still has not been over impressive to-date. Not a lot of enthusiasm in this rally. 

Actions I Will Be Taking:

• Depending on the day’s market action, I will look to add an additional 1-2 new short positions to the portfolio today.
• A push above 1130 and I’ll close out all of my short positions.
• Stay away from fading any large gap up/down this morning – whatever direction it may be, I don’t think it will be fadeable.
• Plenty of solid short setups out there – will wait to see some definitive bearish market action before adding new positions today.