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My Swing Trading Approach

Once again, yesterday was a day of day-trades for me. I faded the early market intraday bounce yesterday twice, First time, I was quickly stopped out for a small loss, and the second time I profited, allowing me to be profitable overall on the day, despite a market sell-off. Today, I plan to play the bounce to the upside, but may only be as a day-trade. 

Indicators

  • Volatility Index (VIX) - VIX is only at 22.48 following yesterday's massive sell-off. I would have suspected a bigger rise than yesterday's 11.8%. Still lower-highs since October - certainly a bullish divergence there. 
  • T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average): Bull flag on this indicator finally broke down, with a 20% drop to 23%. Still well off the lows of October. Again a bullish divergence considering yesterday closed below any of the closing levels from October. 
  • Moving averages (SPX): Currently trading below all the major moving averages here. 
  • RELATEDPatterns to Profits: Training Course

Sectors to Watch Today

Technology changed its tune by not leading to the downside yesterday. In fact it was the fourth strongest sector yesterday. Energy remains in a free-fall - stay away. Staples had been a market leader of late, but is falling apart and looks poised to eventually test its October lows again. Discretionary formed a doji candle and possible bottom - looks like a possible wash-out. 
patterns to profits email

My Market Sentiment

Massive sell-off yesterday, that really didn't test any major support levels, and is simply left in no-man's land. Good chance we see a bounce heading into the Thanksgiving holiday, but its sustainability is questionable at best. Still best to probably day-trade this market. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

swing trading strategy report 332

Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 100% Cash.

Recent Stock Trades - See My Past Performance Here. 

Wednesday's Swing-Trade Setups:

Take a look at three trading ideas to prep you for the next trading session.

Get all of my trades that I make real-time by jumping in the Swing-Trading Splash Zone and start making some profits for yourself! 

Long Alphabet (GOOGL)

googl 1 swing trading strategies

Stocks Watch List

My Swing Trading Approach

I took a day-trade in SPXU yesterday for a +4% profit, after I was knocked out of my two long positions at the open. Sitting in cash now, and would obviously like to still be in $SPXU, but I would simply be chasing it to get back in here. Also, with futures gapping down over 40 points here at the open - a true rarity, the market could be setting itself up for an emotional bottom put in place, that leads to a short-term buying opportunity. 

Indicators

  • Volatility Index (VIX) - VIX had a 10% move yesterday, and looking at another 11% at the open here to take it over 22 and looking at a break of the month's highs. 
  • T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average): This is the most odd indicator of them all right now - it has yet to really break down. Still a bull flag, but I don't trust it, not with the weakness that we are seeing at the open. I suspect this will break down dramatically. 
  • Moving averages (SPX): Broke back below the 5 and 20-day moving averages yesterday, and now trading below all the major moving averages here. 
  • RELATEDPatterns to Profits: Training Course

Sectors to Watch Today

Utilities was the safe haven and pushing higher for a second straight day and by far the most bullish sector. Many of the sectors today will be taking out their November lows, and looking at a push towards their October lows. Technology is likely to take out its October lows at the open here. 
patterns to profits email

My Market Sentiment

It is odd to me this heavy sell-off is happening during one of the most bullish trading weeks of the year historically, and during low-volume holiday week. With a gap down of over 40 points in store, look for a very dramatic flush at the open and a potential wipe out of prices that puts in a short-term bottom. No way to say for sure, but this certainly feels like Wall Street is panicking at the open here.  

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

swing trading strategy report 331

Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 100% Cash.

Recent Stock Trades - See My Past Performance Here. 

Tuesday's Swing-Trade Setups:

Take a look at three trading ideas to prep you for the next trading session.

Get all of my trades that I make real-time by jumping in the Swing-Trading Splash Zone and start making some profits for yourself! 

Long Intel (INTC)

intc swing trading strategies

Stocks Watch List

Taking on new long setups today is a torturous prospect that should be avoided. 

Despite this being a post about so-called 'bullish' trading opportunities, I have actually only one position in the portfolio and that is with SPXU which happens to be an inverse ETF on SPX to the tune of 3:1. 

I may add additional short positions, but that likely won't happen today. I'm open to adding more shorts tomorrow, if the Thanksgiving Massacre continues. Right now I am playing it light and waiting to see if the bears can take out last week's lows. 

My Swing Trading Approach

I'm coming into today with two long positions, following a 100% cash position at the start of Friday. I will look to add 1-2 new long positions today, if the bulls manage to reverse the morning's slight weakness and rally the market higher. 

Indicators

  • Volatility Index (VIX) - VIX saw a dramatic sell-off on Friday with a 9.2% sell-off, weakening all session long, and likely to continue this week with the historically bullish, holiday week. 
  • T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average): A 10% rally suggests higher prices are in store on the indices. 
  • Moving averages (SPX): Held the 20-day, and broke back above the 5-day moving average yesterday. The 10-day MA is next in line, along with the 200-day MA. 
  • RELATEDPatterns to Profits: Training Course

Sectors to Watch Today

Utilities are hitting their head on a rising channel upper band. I would suspect there is the potential for a hard pullback here, or consolidation at the very least. Healthcare continues its bounce off of the 200-day MA - strong relative strength. Energy formed a lower-low last week, and really the the only sector to do so. Huge weakness in that sector. Financials still building upon that inverse head and shoulders pattern. Technology showing some troubling signs, and needs Apple (AAPL) to start rallying again. 
patterns to profits email

My Market Sentiment

Mild weakness overnight in the futures, but we are coming into what is traditionally a very bullish holiday week. The 200-day moving average is nearby, and of course that inverse head and shoulders pattern is still in play, and should it confirm this week, would create a higher-high. Also, because of it being Thanksgiving, expect a light volume week ahead. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

swing trading strategy report 330

Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 2 Long Positions. 

Recent Stock Trades - See My Past Performance Here. 

Monday's Swing-Trades:

Take a look at three trading ideas to prep you for the next trading session.

Get all of my trades that I make real-time by jumping in the Swing-Trading Splash Zone and start making some profits for yourself! 

Long Applied Materials (AMAT)

amat swing trading strategies

Stocks Watch List

The stock market has experienced a lot of selling of late, and for swing-traders the prospect of knowing whether to hold a trade over night or multiple trades for that matter is very difficult. But this video has been put together to help you determine how to trade these difficult markets and to know when a stock market crash is done and over with. The stock market has experienced a lot of selling of late, and for swing-traders the prospect of knowing whether to hold a trade over night or multiple trades for that matter is very difficult. But this video has been put together to help you determine how to trade these difficult markets and to know when a stock market crash is done and over with.

My Swing Trading Approach

I closed out my two swing-trades that I had open in SQ and NFLX for +5.3% and +1.4% respectively. I am now back in cash. And will consider getting back long or flipping to the short side, depending on the market's action today. 

Indicators

  • Volatility Index (VIX) - Yesterday's VIX candle suggested a lower-high had been established, but this mornings weakness suggests it may try to reverse course again today. However, notice the short-term channel of lower-highs and lower-lows since October's highs were established. 
  • T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average): Massive reversal yesterday and holding on to the bull flag pattern. 
  • Moving averages (SPX): Managed to capture the 20-day moving average into the close today. Impressive day for the bulls. Trading just a shade below the 5-day. 
  • RELATEDPatterns to Profits: Training Course

Sectors to Watch Today

Technology was the hottest sector yesterday, even outpacing the bounce in Energy. If this market bounce continues, Technology will continue to be its leader, followed by DiscretionaryMaterials trying to establish a higher-low to work with. Healthcare showing signs it wants that right shoulder on the inverse head and shoulders pattern it has in the works - same goes for Financials. 
patterns to profits email

My Market Sentiment

Overnight futures are weak, but over the last 30 minutes has started to rally again, despite weak NVDA earnings. This may be a "buy-the-dip" moment at the open for the bulls. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

swing trading strategy report 329

Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 100% Cash

Recent Stock Trades - See My Past Performance Here. 

Friday's Swing-Trades:

Take a look at three trading ideas to prep you for the next trading session.

Get all of my trades that I make real-time by jumping in the Swing-Trading Splash Zone and start making some profits for yourself! 

Long Canada Goose Holdings (GOOS)

goos swing trading strategy

Stocks Watch List

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the part time swing trader by Ryan Mallory