My Swing Trading Approach

Yesterday was a damn good day with a +13.1% profit in my ROKU swing-trade. The trade was placed last Wednesday and closed out yesterday following an amazing run. I still hold two additional long positions, and held off adding anything new yesterday to the portfolio. 

Indicators

  • Volatility Index (VIX) – VIX continues its breakdown below the 200-day moving average with a 2.5% move down to 15.73. The lowest such reading since October 8th. 
  • T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average): Another 2% rise in the indicator to 85% This is the most parabolic, and overbought chart I have seen in ages.  You have to go back to April 1, 2016 for a similar reading. 
  • Moving averages (SPX): A 17 point move today would find SPX testing the 200-day moving average today. Very possible we see that, and I suspect that there will be a real struggle to break through it. 
  • RELATEDPatterns to Profits: Training Course

Sectors to Watch Today

Technology continues to be the biggest winner over the past four trading sessions, and ripped off another 1.3% in profits. Industrials have shown similar strength as well. Energy has held up pretty well over the past four days despite some headwinds at times from the price action in oil. 
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My Market Sentiment

I held steady yesterday while the market put together another impressive rally. I am wanting to see how the bulls handle some near-term overhead resistance as shown below, in particular with the 200-day moving average. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

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Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 20% Long.

Recent Stock Trades – See My Past Performance Here.