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Today's Trading Plan: Can It Do Six Days

Technical Analysis: S&P 500 (SPX) rallied for a fifth straight day this week and well overextended. Still the market continues to rally.  Volume on SPDRs S&P 500 (SPY) was once again above average and strong, though not to the same extent seen on Wednesday.  Amazingly, SPY has been up 17 of the last 23 days since the week of the election - a 74% win rate, with dips quickly getting bought up.  Quick bounce in CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) looks to be short lived, as the bounce itself is light and lacking momentum.  Respectable bounce out of oil yesterday, after filling the gap on United States Oil Fund (USO) and bouncing higher thereafter. Look for another retest of the October highs.  As I've said before, oil only matters when it is rallying. When it sells off, the market completely shrugs off its impact on the economy.  SPX on the 30 minute chart is definitely stretched. and started showing signs late yesterday of consolidation. T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average) is rallying well right now with 75% of stocks above their MA. There is still room to run as it does't get overbought until the 80's are reached.  The Federal Reserve has no choice but to raise rates next week. They are out of excuses and have put themselves into a corner. So far the market hasn't paid a rate hike any thought. Last year the market didn't sell off until after the FOMC Statement. 

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